Pokespective

Chespin (Collector Chest)

XY Promos · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: ahead · 80%HolofoilVintage
Price
$8.47
Interest score
94/100 — Notable
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 22% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($2.08–$8.60)

Chespin (Collector Chest) — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
1-month trend: +0.2671-month trend+0.267Unusual move: +0.257Unusual move+0.2572-month trend: +0.1732-month trend+0.173Seller confidence: +0.158Seller confidence+0.158Listing tightness: -0.046Listing tightness-0.0464-month trend: +0.0344-month trend+0.034Price steadiness: -0.016Price steadiness-0.016Near its high: -0.000Near its high-0.000

Its interest score of 94 out of 100 is driven most by 1-month trend — climbing this month. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Notable - 94 out of 100

It ranks above 95% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Climbing this month and sudden jump

It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month. The recent move is far larger than this card's normal week-to-week wobble - something happened. Working against it: asking prices are scattered, so the quoted price is not really the price.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+20.3%
Past 2 months+21.4%
Past 4 months+37.1%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$8.47 - cheap for its set

At $8.47 it is one of the cheaper cards in its set - number 192 of 269 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 48th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 13-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 13 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 19% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $8.47 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 80% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +10.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
80%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+10.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
64
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$8.39 – $11.95 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $9.07 and $10.65. Today it is $8.47.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$8.47What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$4.50The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$10.53The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+24.3%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+20.3%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+21.4%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+37.1%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+26.2%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+2.0Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-1.5%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0177Calm and steady
How often it trades19%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed68How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age12.8 yearsVintage
Interest score95 / 100Ranks above 95% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID108,618For looking it up elsewhere

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