Pokespective

Yveltal BREAK

XY - Steam Siege · Rare BREAK · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 44%HolofoilVintage
Price
$8.27
Interest score
15/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 94% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($5.02–$8.69)

Yveltal BREAK — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.250Seller confidence-0.250Unusual move: -0.150Unusual move-0.1501-month trend: -0.1431-month trend-0.1432-month trend: -0.0432-month trend-0.043Price steadiness: +0.018Price steadiness+0.018Near its high: -0.015Near its high-0.015Listing tightness: -0.011Listing tightness-0.0114-month trend: -0.0014-month trend-0.001

Its interest score of 15 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 15 out of 100

It ranks above 15% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and sudden drop

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-5.0%
Past 2 months-3.1%
Past 4 months-1.8%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$8.27 - expensive for its set

At $8.27 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 13 of 209 by price. Against other Rare BREAK cards it sits at the 86th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Rare BREAK - genuinely scarce

Only 28 of the cards we track are Rare BREAK - under 0.1% of the catalogue. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 54% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $8.27 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 44% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +1.2% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
44%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+1.2%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
80
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$7.61 – $10.62 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $8.14 and $9.47. Today it is $8.27.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$8.27What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$4.49The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$7.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-3.4%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market-5.0%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-3.1%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-1.8%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+3.0%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.5Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-4.8%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0146Calm and steady
How often it trades54%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed196How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age10.1 yearsVintage
Interest score15 / 100Ranks above 15% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID121,195For looking it up elsewhere

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