Pokespective

Flying Pikachu

XY - Evolutions · Secret Rare

Forecast: slight edge · 61%NormalVintage
Price
$10.57
Interest score
65/100 — Above average
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 91% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($3.55–$11.91)

Flying Pikachu — price history
$0.00$2.50$5.00$7.50$10.00$12.50 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
2-month trend: +0.1722-month trend+0.172Seller confidence: -0.089Seller confidence-0.0891-month trend: +0.0701-month trend+0.070Unusual move: +0.049Unusual move+0.049Price steadiness: -0.044Price steadiness-0.044Near its high: -0.034Near its high-0.034Listing tightness: -0.007Listing tightness-0.0074-month trend: +0.0034-month trend+0.003

Its interest score of 65 out of 100 is driven most by 2-month trend — climbing for 2 months. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 65 out of 100

It ranks above 66% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Climbing for 2 months and sellers undercutting

It has outpaced the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip. People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+3.6%
Past 2 months+21.3%
Past 4 months+1.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$10.57 - expensive for its set

At $10.57 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 18 of 196 by price. Against other Secret Rare cards it sits at the 39th percentile. It is 13% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Secret Rare - uncommon tier

623 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of the catalogue). The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 92% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $10.57 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 61% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +7.3% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
61%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+7.3%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
66
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$10.04 – $14.64 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $10.91 and $12.95. Today it is $10.57.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$10.57What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$6.30The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$10.88The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+2.9%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+3.6%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+21.3%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+1.5%Outpacing the market
Unusual move+0.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-11.3%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0206Jumpy
How often it trades92%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed335How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age9.9 yearsVintage
Interest score66 / 100Ranks above 66% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID124,123For looking it up elsewhere

More from XY - Evolutions