Pokespective

Umbreon GX (Secret)

SM Base Set · Secret Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 29%HolofoilVintage
Price
$135.03
Interest score
37/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 100% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($86.63–$143.45)

Umbreon GX (Secret) — price history
$25.00$50.00$75.00$100.00$125.00$150.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: +0.105Price steadiness+0.1052-month trend: -0.0972-month trend-0.097Unusual move: -0.083Unusual move-0.083Seller confidence: -0.076Seller confidence-0.0761-month trend: -0.0741-month trend-0.074Near its high: -0.019Near its high-0.019Listing tightness: -0.019Listing tightness-0.0194-month trend: -0.0074-month trend-0.007

Its interest score of 37 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — very steady price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 37 out of 100

It ranks above 37% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Very steady price and sliding for 2 months

The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around. It has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-1.8%
Past 2 months-7.0%
Past 4 months-5.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$135.03 - expensive for its set

At $135.03 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 1 of 307 by price. Against other Secret Rare cards it sits at the 80th percentile - toward the top. It is 6% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Secret Rare - uncommon tier, the most valuable card in its set

623 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of the catalogue). It is the single most expensive card of the 307 we track in this set. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 25% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $135.03 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 16% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 29% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -0.7% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
29%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-0.7%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
88
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$124.17 – $166.55 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $131.51 and $149.93. Today it is $135.03.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$135.03What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$74.56The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$139.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+3.7%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-1.8%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-7.0%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-5.5%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-3.4%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-5.9%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0093Calm and steady
How often it trades25%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed91How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age9.6 yearsVintage
Interest score37 / 100Ranks above 37% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID127,193For looking it up elsewhere

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