Pokespective

Wishful Baton (Secret)

SM - Crimson Invasion · Secret Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 43%HolofoilVintage
Price
$4.05
Interest score
35/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 85% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($3.56–$4.18)

Wishful Baton (Secret) — price history
$3.50$3.60$3.70$3.80$3.90$4.00$4.10$4.20$4.30$4.40$4.50$4.60 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.169Seller confidence-0.1692-month trend: -0.0882-month trend-0.088Price steadiness: +0.060Price steadiness+0.0601-month trend: -0.0411-month trend-0.041Unusual move: -0.037Unusual move-0.037Near its high: -0.008Near its high-0.0084-month trend: -0.0074-month trend-0.007Listing tightness: +0.004Listing tightness+0.004

Its interest score of 35 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 35 out of 100

It ranks above 36% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and sliding for 2 months

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. It has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.8%
Past 2 months-6.3%
Past 4 months-5.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$4.05 - expensive for its set

At $4.05 it is expensive for its set - number 33 of 216 by price. Against other Secret Rare cards it sits at the 11th percentile - toward the bottom. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Secret Rare - uncommon tier

623 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of the catalogue). This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 9 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 25% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $4.05 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 43% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +0.3% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
43%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+0.3%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
82
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$3.73 – $5.12 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $3.97 and $4.57. Today it is $4.05.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$4.05What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$2.50The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$4.05The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+0.0%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market-0.8%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-6.3%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-5.6%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-6.0%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-3.1%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0117Calm and steady
How often it trades25%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed92How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age8.9 yearsVintage
Interest score36 / 100Ranks above 36% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID149,146For looking it up elsewhere

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