Pokespective

Ultra Necrozma GX (Secret)

SM - Forbidden Light · Secret Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 25%HolofoilVintage
Price
$42.77
Interest score
47/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 97% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($37.49–$43.24)

Ultra Necrozma GX (Secret) — price history
$20.00$25.00$30.00$35.00$40.00$45.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: +0.135Price steadiness+0.135Unusual move: -0.106Unusual move-0.1061-month trend: -0.0841-month trend-0.0842-month trend: -0.0562-month trend-0.056Listing tightness: +0.036Listing tightness+0.036Seller confidence: -0.036Seller confidence-0.0364-month trend: -0.0224-month trend-0.022Near its high: +0.003Near its high+0.003

Its interest score of 47 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — very steady price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 47 out of 100

It ranks above 47% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Very steady price and sudden drop

The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-2.2%
Past 2 months-4.1%
Past 4 months-13.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$42.77 - expensive for its set

At $42.77 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 8 of 251 by price. Against other Secret Rare cards it sits at the 67th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Secret Rare - uncommon tier

623 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of the catalogue). This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 8 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 15% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $42.77 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 51% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 25% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -2.2% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
25%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-2.2%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
83
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$39.02 – $51.34 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $41.17 and $46.53. Today it is $42.77.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$42.77What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$32.67The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$45.24The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+5.8%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-2.2%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-4.1%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-13.6%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-3.6%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.2Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-1.1%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0079Calm and steady
How often it trades15%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed54How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age8.4 yearsVintage
Interest score47 / 100Ranks above 47% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID165,757For looking it up elsewhere

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