Pokespective

Professor's Letter - 146a/162

Alternate Art Promos · Promo

Forecast: slightly behind · 39%NormalJust released
Price
$9.63
Interest score
32/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 36% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($6.49–$9.63)

Professor's Letter - 146a/162 — price history
$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00$10.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-04

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.270Seller confidence-0.270Listing tightness: -0.044Listing tightness-0.044Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0422-month trend: -0.0302-month trend-0.030Price steadiness: -0.025Price steadiness-0.0251-month trend: +0.0101-month trend+0.0104-month trend: -0.0084-month trend-0.008Unusual move: +0.000Unusual move+0.000

Its interest score of 32 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 32 out of 100

It ranks above 33% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and scattered listings

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. Asking prices are scattered, so the quoted price is not really the price.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+1.0%
Past 2 months-2.2%
Past 4 months-6.2%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$9.63 - mid-priced for its set

At $9.63 it is mid-priced for its set - number 38 of 58 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 50th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a recent set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. The set is brand new - prices this early are driven by hype and packs still being opened, and usually settle downward.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 9% of our checks over the past year across 358 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $9.63 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 39% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +3.5% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
39%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+3.5%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
52
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$8.88 – $12.75 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $9.62 and $11.34. Today it is $9.63.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$9.63What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$3.99The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$9.17The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-4.8%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+1.0%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market-2.2%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-6.2%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-0.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.2Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0186Calm and steady
How often it trades9%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record358Observations in the past year
Times the price changed32How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age0.0 yearsJust released
Interest score33 / 100Ranks above 33% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID177,166For looking it up elsewhere

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