Pokespective

Dragonite GX - SM156

SM Promos · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: slight edge · 58%HolofoilVintage
Price
$89.74
Interest score
72/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 87% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($76.68–$91.22)

Dragonite GX - SM156 — price history
$20.00$40.00$60.00$80.00$100.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.177Seller confidence+0.177Price steadiness: +0.114Price steadiness+0.1142-month trend: -0.0522-month trend-0.0521-month trend: -0.0311-month trend-0.031Listing tightness: +0.028Listing tightness+0.028Unusual move: -0.011Unusual move-0.0114-month trend: -0.0024-month trend-0.002Near its high: -0.001Near its high-0.001

Its interest score of 72 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 72 out of 100

It ranks above 72% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and very steady price

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around. Working against it: it has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.4%
Past 2 months-3.7%
Past 4 months-2.7%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$89.74 - expensive for its set

At $89.74 it is expensive for its set - number 43 of 336 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 88th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 10-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 15% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $89.74 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 25% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 58% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +3.2% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
58%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+3.2%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
81
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$85.88 – $114.61 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $90.87 and $103.36. Today it is $89.74.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$89.74What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$79.99The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$114.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+28.1%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-0.4%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-3.7%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-2.7%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-5.7%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.2Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-1.6%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0089Calm and steady
How often it trades15%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed55How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age9.8 yearsVintage
Interest score72 / 100Ranks above 72% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID178,692For looking it up elsewhere

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