Pokespective

Alolan Marowak

SM - Team Up · Rare · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: slight edge · 62%Reverse HolofoilVintage
Price
$8.40
Interest score
76/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 83% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($1.42–$8.40)

Alolan Marowak — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
2-month trend: +0.1772-month trend+0.1771-month trend: +0.1131-month trend+0.113Unusual move: +0.071Unusual move+0.071Price steadiness: -0.071Price steadiness-0.071Seller confidence: -0.050Seller confidence-0.050Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0424-month trend: +0.0404-month trend+0.040Listing tightness: -0.024Listing tightness-0.024

Its interest score of 76 out of 100 is driven most by 2-month trend — climbing for 2 months. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 76 out of 100

It ranks above 77% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Climbing for 2 months and climbing this month

It has outpaced the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip. It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month. Working against it: the price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+5.9%
Past 2 months+22.5%
Past 4 months+50.0%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$8.40 - expensive for its set

At $8.40 it is expensive for its set - number 63 of 357 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 76th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 8-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 8 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 20% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $8.40 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 62% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +5.6% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
62%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+5.6%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
53
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$7.77 – $11.60 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $8.49 and $10.19. Today it is $8.40.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$8.40What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$4.49The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$8.82The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+5.0%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+5.9%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+22.5%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+50.0%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+29.9%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.5Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0237Jumpy
How often it trades20%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed72How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age7.6 yearsVintage
Interest score77 / 100Ranks above 77% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID183,842For looking it up elsewhere

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