Pokespective

Aether Paradise Conservation Area

Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault · Shiny Holo Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 50%HolofoilVintage
Price
$8.17
Interest score
84/100 — Notable
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 38% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($5.44–$8.17)

Aether Paradise Conservation Area — price history
$5.10$5.20$5.30$5.40$5.50$5.60$5.70$5.80$5.90$6.00$6.10$6.20 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: +0.213Unusual move+0.213Seller confidence: -0.169Seller confidence-0.1691-month trend: +0.1381-month trend+0.138Price steadiness: +0.093Price steadiness+0.0932-month trend: +0.0922-month trend+0.092Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.042Listing tightness: +0.040Listing tightness+0.0404-month trend: +0.0074-month trend+0.007

Its interest score of 84 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden jump. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Notable - 84 out of 100

It ranks above 84% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden jump and sellers undercutting

The recent move is far larger than this card's normal week-to-week wobble - something happened. People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+7.5%
Past 2 months+8.8%
Past 4 months+4.2%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$8.17 - mid-priced for its set

At $8.17 it is mid-priced for its set - number 59 of 94 by price. Against other Shiny Holo Rare cards it sits at the 59th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Shiny Holo Rare - genuinely scarce

Only 246 of the cards we track are Shiny Holo Rare - under 0.6% of the catalogue. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 7 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 49% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $8.17 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 50% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +4.5% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
50%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+4.5%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
90
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$7.88 – $10.65 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $8.36 and $9.56. Today it is $8.17.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$8.17What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$5.99The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$8.17The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+0.0%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+7.5%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+8.8%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+4.2%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+6.1%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+1.6Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0099Calm and steady
How often it trades49%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed178How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age7.1 yearsVintage
Interest score84 / 100Ranks above 84% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID197,841For looking it up elsewhere

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