Pokespective

Vaporeon

SM - Cosmic Eclipse · Uncommon · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: ahead · 81%Reverse HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$11.08
Interest score
98/100 — Standout
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 85% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($4.51–$11.08)

Vaporeon — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: +0.264Unusual move+0.264Seller confidence: +0.262Seller confidence+0.2622-month trend: +0.2622-month trend+0.2621-month trend: +0.2281-month trend+0.228Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0424-month trend: +0.0374-month trend+0.037Price steadiness: +0.034Price steadiness+0.034Listing tightness: -0.024Listing tightness-0.024

Its interest score of 98 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden jump. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Standout - 98 out of 100

It is in the top 5% of everything we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden jump and sellers holding firm

The recent move is far larger than this card's normal week-to-week wobble - something happened. People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. Working against it: asking prices are scattered, so the quoted price is not really the price.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+15.5%
Past 2 months+45.9%
Past 4 months+43.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$11.08 - expensive for its set

At $11.08 it is expensive for its set - number 71 of 464 by price. Against other Uncommon cards it sits at the 91th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Uncommon from a 7-year-old set

Uncommon is a common tier - 11,470 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 30% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $11.08 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 81% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +12.5% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
81%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+12.5%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
78
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$11.37 – $15.91 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $12.14 and $14.11. Today it is $11.08.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$11.08What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$8.99The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$17.66The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+59.4%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+15.5%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+45.9%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+43.5%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+36.8%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+2.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0135Calm and steady
How often it trades30%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed111How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.9 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score98 / 100Ranks above 98% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID201,218For looking it up elsewhere

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