Pokespective

Professor Elm's Lecture - 188a/214 (League Challenge) [3rd Place]

League & Championship Cards · Promo · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: ahead · 64%Reverse HolofoilVintage
Price
$11.94
Interest score
68/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 52% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($2.43–$11.94)

Professor Elm's Lecture - 188a/214 (League Challenge) [3rd Place] — price history
$0.00$2.50$5.00$7.50$10.00$12.50 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-102026-032026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: -0.107Price steadiness-0.107Listing tightness: +0.097Listing tightness+0.097Seller confidence: +0.091Seller confidence+0.0912-month trend: +0.0722-month trend+0.072Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.042Unusual move: -0.036Unusual move-0.0364-month trend: +0.0214-month trend+0.0211-month trend: -0.0201-month trend-0.020

Its interest score of 68 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — jumpy price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 68 out of 100

It ranks above 68% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Jumpy price and tight listings

The price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing. Asking prices are clustered tightly together, which is the mark of an orderly market.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mostly yes

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.0%
Past 2 months+6.5%
Past 4 months+18.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$11.94 - mid-priced for its set

At $11.94 it is mid-priced for its set - number 296 of 632 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 55th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 10-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 20% of our checks over the past year across 325 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $11.94 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 64% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +3.1% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
64%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+3.1%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
48
thin data — treat loosely

$10.19 – $16.45 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $11.60 and $14.29. Today it is $11.94.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$11.94What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$12.38The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$13.73The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+15.0%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-0.0%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market+6.5%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+18.6%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+16.1%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0290Jumpy
How often it trades20%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record325Observations in the past year
Times the price changed64How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age10.3 yearsVintage
Interest score68 / 100Ranks above 68% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID205,309For looking it up elsewhere

More from League & Championship Cards