Pokespective

Pikachu

SWSH01: Sword & Shield Base Set · Common · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 48%Reverse HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$3.23
Interest score
54/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 92% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($0.69–$3.23)

Pikachu — price history
$0.00$0.10$0.20$0.30$0.40$0.50$0.60$0.70$0.80$0.90$1.00$1.10 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.300Seller confidence-0.3001-month trend: +0.1831-month trend+0.183Price steadiness: -0.117Price steadiness-0.117Unusual move: +0.098Unusual move+0.0982-month trend: +0.0662-month trend+0.066Listing tightness: -0.044Listing tightness-0.044Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0424-month trend: +0.0374-month trend+0.037

Its interest score of 54 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 54 out of 100

It ranks above 54% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and climbing this month

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+11.1%
Past 2 months+5.8%
Past 4 months+43.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$3.23 - expensive for its set

At $3.23 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 33 of 399 by price. Against other Common cards it sits at the 81th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Common from a 7-year-old set

Common is a common tier - 12,381 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 55% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $3.23 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 48% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +1.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
48%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+1.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
56
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$2.70 – $4.43 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $3.09 and $3.83. Today it is $3.23.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$3.23What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$1.30The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$3.00The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-7.1%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+11.1%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+5.8%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+43.6%Outpacing the market
Unusual move+0.7Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0311Jumpy
How often it trades55%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed199How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.6 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score54 / 100Ranks above 54% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID208,362For looking it up elsewhere

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