Pokespective

Frosmoth - 064/202 (League Challenge) [1st Place]

League & Championship Cards · Promo · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: ahead · 83%Reverse HolofoilVintage
Price
$13.06
Interest score
97/100 — Not trustworthy
Pricing
Very few listings

Pricier than 54% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($4.71–$13.06)

Frosmoth - 064/202 (League Challenge) [1st Place] — price history
$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00$14.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-102026-032026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.413Seller confidence+0.4132-month trend: +0.1922-month trend+0.1921-month trend: +0.1341-month trend+0.134Unusual move: +0.117Unusual move+0.117Listing tightness: +0.108Listing tightness+0.108Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0424-month trend: +0.0384-month trend+0.038Price steadiness: -0.025Price steadiness-0.025

Its interest score of 97 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Scores 97, but do not trust it

Asking prices are 3.2x what the card last sold for. At that extreme this is one or two outlier listings on a nearly empty page, not sellers holding firm - and seller confidence is the heaviest ingredient in the score. Check the real listings before believing this ranking. The score is computed the same way as for every other card, and on this one the ingredients are being fed by a listing that does not represent a real market. Treat the ranking as unreliable until the listings look normal again.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and climbing for 2 months

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. It has outpaced the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip. Working against it: the price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+7.3%
Past 2 months+25.4%
Past 4 months+47.4%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$13.06 - mid-priced for its set

At $13.06 it is mid-priced for its set - number 286 of 632 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 56th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 10-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 16% of our checks over the past year across 334 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $13.06 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 83% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +15.2% on a middling outcome.

Very few listings: treat this forecast as unusable. The model's heaviest input is seller confidence, and that is the exact figure this card's listings distort.

Chance of beating market
83%
not meaningful here
Expected vs market
+15.2%
not meaningful here
Forecast confidence
58
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$13.40 – $19.23 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $14.52 and $17.10. Today it is $13.06.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$13.06What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$39.80The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$42.02The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+221.7%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+7.3%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+25.4%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+47.4%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+44.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.8Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0185Calm and steady
How often it trades16%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record334Observations in the past year
Times the price changed54How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age10.3 yearsVintage
Interest score97 / 100Ranks above 97% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID209,333For looking it up elsewhere

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