Pokespective

Gyarados

SWSH02: Rebel Clash · Holo Rare · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 44%Reverse HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$2.81
Interest score
49/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 89% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($1.29–$3.31)

Gyarados — price history
$0.40$0.50$0.60$0.70$0.80$0.90$1.00$1.10$1.20$1.30$1.40$1.50 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.104Seller confidence-0.104Near its high: -0.043Near its high-0.0431-month trend: +0.0341-month trend+0.034Unusual move: +0.025Unusual move+0.0254-month trend: +0.0244-month trend+0.024Price steadiness: -0.020Price steadiness-0.020Listing tightness: -0.013Listing tightness-0.0132-month trend: -0.0012-month trend-0.001

Its interest score of 49 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 49 out of 100

It ranks above 50% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and well off its highs

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. It sits well below its high of the past year.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mostly yes

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+2.0%
Past 2 months-0.0%
Past 4 months+21.7%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$2.81 - expensive for its set

At $2.81 it is expensive for its set - number 42 of 361 by price. Against other Holo Rare cards it sits at the 36th percentile. It is 18% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Holo Rare from a 6-year-old set

Holo Rare is a common tier - 3,435 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 36% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $2.81 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 44% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +2.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
44%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+2.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
72
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$2.58 – $3.69 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $2.79 and $3.28. Today it is $2.81.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$2.81What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$1.59The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$2.87The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+2.1%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+2.0%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market-0.0%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market+21.7%Outpacing the market
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-15.1%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0181Calm and steady
How often it trades36%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed133How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.4 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score50 / 100Ranks above 50% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID213,118For looking it up elsewhere

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