Pokespective

Sonia (Full Art)

SWSH02: Rebel Clash · Ultra Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 36%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$22.05
Interest score
48/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 99% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($16.47–$22.68)

Sonia (Full Art) — price history
$17.50$20.00$22.50$25.00$27.50 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: +0.164Price steadiness+0.164Unusual move: -0.130Unusual move-0.1301-month trend: -0.0941-month trend-0.094Seller confidence: -0.064Seller confidence-0.064Listing tightness: +0.037Listing tightness+0.0372-month trend: -0.0152-month trend-0.0154-month trend: -0.0094-month trend-0.009Near its high: -0.007Near its high-0.007

Its interest score of 48 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — very steady price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 48 out of 100

It ranks above 48% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Very steady price and sudden drop

The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-2.6%
Past 2 months-1.2%
Past 4 months-6.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$22.05 - expensive for its set

At $22.05 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 5 of 361 by price. Against other Ultra Rare cards it sits at the 66th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Ultra Rare from a 6-year-old set

Ultra Rare is a common tier - 2,592 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 63% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $22.05 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $44.05 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 36% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +2.5% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
36%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+2.5%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
97
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$21.21 – $27.46 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $22.31 and $25.04. Today it is $22.05.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$22.05What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$16.70The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$23.01The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+4.4%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-2.6%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-1.2%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-6.9%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-4.0%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-2.8%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0069Calm and steady
How often it trades63%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed230How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.4 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score48 / 100Ranks above 48% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID213,276For looking it up elsewhere

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