Pokespective

Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)

SWSH07: Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 22%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$2,369
Interest score
11/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 100% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($1,649–$2,416)

Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) — price history
$500.00$1,000.00$1,500.00$2,000.00$2,500.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.274Seller confidence-0.2741-month trend: -0.1031-month trend-0.103Unusual move: -0.091Unusual move-0.0912-month trend: -0.0812-month trend-0.081Listing tightness: -0.063Listing tightness-0.063Price steadiness: -0.063Price steadiness-0.063Near its high: -0.003Near its high-0.0034-month trend: +0.0014-month trend+0.001

Its interest score of 11 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 11 out of 100

It ranks above 11% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and slipping this month

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-3.0%
Past 2 months-5.7%
Past 4 months-0.0%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$2,369 - expensive for its set

At $2,369 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 1 of 369 by price. Against other Secret Rare cards it sits at the 99th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Secret Rare - uncommon tier, the most valuable card in its set

623 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of the catalogue). It is the single most expensive card of the 369 we track in this set. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 38% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Usually yes

At $2,369 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is minor next to the card's value, and cards at this level are usually worth protecting and authenticating regardless of the premium. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 22% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -7.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
22%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-7.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
63
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$1,920 – $2,845 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $2,094 and $2,503. Today it is $2,369.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$2,369What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$800.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$2,250The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-5.0%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market-3.0%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-5.7%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-0.0%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+12.8%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-2.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0226Jumpy
How often it trades38%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed138How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age5.1 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score11 / 100Ranks above 11% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID246,723For looking it up elsewhere

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