Pokespective

Rayquaza VMAX

SWSH07: Evolving Skies · Ultra Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 40%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$15.14
Interest score
22/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 90% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($6.55–$16.77)

Rayquaza VMAX — price history
$5.00$10.00$15.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
1-month trend: -0.1451-month trend-0.145Unusual move: -0.129Unusual move-0.1292-month trend: -0.0732-month trend-0.073Price steadiness: -0.044Price steadiness-0.044Seller confidence: -0.038Seller confidence-0.038Near its high: -0.030Near its high-0.030Listing tightness: -0.011Listing tightness-0.0114-month trend: +0.0014-month trend+0.001

Its interest score of 22 out of 100 is driven most by 1-month trend — slipping this month. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 22 out of 100

It ranks above 23% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Slipping this month and sudden drop

It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-5.1%
Past 2 months-5.2%
Past 4 months-0.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$15.14 - expensive for its set

At $15.14 it is expensive for its set - number 38 of 369 by price. Against other Ultra Rare cards it sits at the 60th percentile. It is 11% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Ultra Rare from a 5-year-old set

Ultra Rare is a common tier - 2,592 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 94% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $15.14 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 40% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +3.2% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
40%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+3.2%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
66
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$13.82 – $20.15 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $15.03 and $17.83. Today it is $15.14.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$15.14What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$8.99The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$15.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+5.6%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-5.1%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-5.2%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-0.6%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+11.1%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-9.7%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0205Jumpy
How often it trades94%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed344How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age5.1 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score23 / 100Ranks above 23% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID246,730For looking it up elsewhere

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