Pokespective

Deoxys - SWSH170 (Prerelease)

SWSH: Sword & Shield Promo Cards · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 43%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$5.74
Interest score
76/100 — Above average
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 59% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($3.10–$5.94)

Deoxys - SWSH170 (Prerelease) — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
2-month trend: +0.2372-month trend+0.237Seller confidence: -0.128Seller confidence-0.1281-month trend: +0.1041-month trend+0.104Unusual move: +0.097Unusual move+0.097Listing tightness: -0.022Listing tightness-0.0224-month trend: +0.0224-month trend+0.022Price steadiness: -0.010Price steadiness-0.010Near its high: -0.010Near its high-0.010

Its interest score of 76 out of 100 is driven most by 2-month trend — climbing for 2 months. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 76 out of 100

It ranks above 76% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Climbing for 2 months and sellers undercutting

It has outpaced the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip. People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+5.3%
Past 2 months+37.2%
Past 4 months+19.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$5.74 - mid-priced for its set

At $5.74 it is mid-priced for its set - number 140 of 345 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 41th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 7-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 56% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $5.74 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 43% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +1.4% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
43%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+1.4%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
72
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$5.24 – $7.48 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $5.64 and $6.62. Today it is $5.74.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$5.74What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$3.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$5.80The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+1.0%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+5.3%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+37.2%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+19.5%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+32.9%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.7Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-3.4%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0171Calm and steady
How often it trades56%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed204How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.9 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score76 / 100Ranks above 76% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID253,406For looking it up elsewhere

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