Pokespective

Vaporeon VMAX - SWSH182

Jumbo Cards · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: ahead · 67%HolofoilVintage
Price
$18.66
Interest score
66/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 71% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($16.80–$20.22)

Vaporeon VMAX - SWSH182 — price history
$10.00$15.00$20.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.204Seller confidence+0.204Price steadiness: +0.157Price steadiness+0.1572-month trend: -0.0962-month trend-0.0961-month trend: -0.0461-month trend-0.0464-month trend: -0.0334-month trend-0.033Unusual move: -0.032Unusual move-0.032Near its high: -0.025Near its high-0.025Listing tightness: -0.002Listing tightness-0.002

Its interest score of 66 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 66 out of 100

It ranks above 66% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and very steady price

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around. Working against it: it has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.9%
Past 2 months-6.9%
Past 4 months-19.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$18.66 - expensive for its set

At $18.66 it is expensive for its set - number 95 of 345 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 63th percentile. It is 8% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 11-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 11 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 24% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $18.66 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $40.66 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 67% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +4.9% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
67%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+4.9%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
92
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$18.35 – $23.85 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $19.32 and $21.72. Today it is $18.66.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$18.66What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$15.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$25.25The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+35.3%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-0.9%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-6.9%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-19.5%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-10.2%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-7.7%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0071Calm and steady
How often it trades24%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed87How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age11.5 yearsVintage
Interest score66 / 100Ranks above 66% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID257,708For looking it up elsewhere

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