Pokespective

Ice Rider Calyrex VMAX - 046/198 (Holiday Calendar)

Miscellaneous Cards & Products · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 50%HolofoilJust released
Price
$2.48
Interest score
9/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 40% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($1.66–$3.64)

Ice Rider Calyrex VMAX - 046/198 (Holiday Calendar) — price history
$0.70$0.80$0.90$1.00$1.10$1.20$1.30$1.40$1.50$1.60$1.70$1.80 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
2-month trend: -0.2802-month trend-0.280Unusual move: -0.225Unusual move-0.2251-month trend: -0.2251-month trend-0.225Seller confidence: +0.133Seller confidence+0.133Near its high: -0.070Near its high-0.0704-month trend: -0.0384-month trend-0.038Price steadiness: -0.008Price steadiness-0.008Listing tightness: -0.005Listing tightness-0.005

Its interest score of 9 out of 100 is driven most by 2-month trend — sliding for 2 months. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 9 out of 100

It ranks above 9% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sliding for 2 months and sudden drop

It has trailed the market over the past two months. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-10.7%
Past 2 months-29.0%
Past 4 months-23.3%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$2.48 - mid-priced for its set

At $2.48 it is mid-priced for its set - number 366 of 619 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 28th percentile. It is 47% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a recent set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is brand new - prices this early are driven by hype and packs still being opened, and usually settle downward.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 44% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $2.48 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 50% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +3.5% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
50%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+3.5%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
73
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$2.31 – $3.30 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $2.49 and $2.92. Today it is $2.48.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$2.48What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$1.74The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$2.98The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+20.2%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-10.7%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-29.0%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-23.3%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-24.5%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-1.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-31.9%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0169Calm and steady
How often it trades44%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed162How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age0.0 yearsJust released
Interest score9 / 100Ranks above 9% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID283,290For looking it up elsewhere

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