Pokespective

Charizard

Base Set 2 · Holo Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 47%HolofoilVintage
Price
$512.90
Interest score
45/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 100% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($295.53–$512.90)

Charizard — price history
$200.00$300.00$400.00$500.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.517Seller confidence-0.517Listing tightness: +0.092Listing tightness+0.092Unusual move: +0.077Unusual move+0.0771-month trend: +0.0681-month trend+0.0682-month trend: +0.0552-month trend+0.055Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0424-month trend: +0.0144-month trend+0.014Price steadiness: +0.012Price steadiness+0.012

Its interest score of 45 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 45 out of 100

It ranks above 45% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and tight listings

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. Asking prices are clustered tightly together, which is the mark of an orderly market.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+3.5%
Past 2 months+4.8%
Past 4 months+10.1%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$512.90 - expensive for its set

At $512.90 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 1 of 130 by price. Against other Holo Rare cards it sits at the 98th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

The most valuable card in its set

Holo Rare is a common tier - 3,435 tracked cards share it. It is the single most expensive card of the 130 we track in this set. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 27 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 12% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Usually yes

At $512.90 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is minor next to the card's value, and cards at this level are usually worth protecting and authenticating regardless of the premium. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 47% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -2.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
47%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-2.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
62
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$452.64 – $634.14 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $484.79 and $564.89. Today it is $512.90.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$512.90What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$309.95The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$350.00The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-31.8%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+3.5%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+4.8%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+10.1%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-0.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.6Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0151Calm and steady
How often it trades12%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed43How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age26.6 yearsVintage
Interest score45 / 100Ranks above 45% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID42,479For looking it up elsewhere

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