Pokespective

Lickitung

Southern Islands · Rare

Forecast: in line · 52%NormalVintage
Price
$40.26
Interest score
59/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 17% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($15.93–$40.73)

Lickitung — price history
$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.133Seller confidence+0.133Unusual move: -0.074Unusual move-0.0741-month trend: -0.0721-month trend-0.072Price steadiness: +0.037Price steadiness+0.037Listing tightness: +0.007Listing tightness+0.0072-month trend: +0.0042-month trend+0.004Near its high: +0.002Near its high+0.0024-month trend: -0.0004-month trend-0.000

Its interest score of 59 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 59 out of 100

It ranks above 60% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and sudden drop

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-1.7%
Past 2 months+0.4%
Past 4 months-1.2%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$40.26 - cheap for its set

At $40.26 it is one of the cheaper cards in its set - number 16 of 18 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 93th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 25-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it. The set is about 25 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 16% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $40.26 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 55% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 52% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +2.1% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
52%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+2.1%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
68
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$37.54 – $52.37 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $40.06 and $46.50. Today it is $40.26.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$40.26What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$30.21The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$48.36The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+20.1%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-1.7%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market+0.4%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market-1.2%Falling behind the market
Unusual move-0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-1.2%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0132Calm and steady
How often it trades16%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed60How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age25.1 yearsVintage
Interest score60 / 100Ranks above 60% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID46,473For looking it up elsewhere

More from Southern Islands