Pokespective

Rayquaza VMAX - 111/203

Prize Pack Series Cards · Ultra Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: ahead · 72%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$468.04
Interest score
97/100 — Not trustworthy
Pricing
Only one listing

Pricier than 100% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($109.58–$468.04)

Rayquaza VMAX - 111/203 — price history
$0.00$100.00$200.00$300.00$400.00$500.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-102026-032026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
1-month trend: +0.3371-month trend+0.3372-month trend: +0.2792-month trend+0.279Seller confidence: +0.194Seller confidence+0.194Unusual move: +0.194Unusual move+0.194Price steadiness: -0.149Price steadiness-0.149Listing tightness: +0.145Listing tightness+0.1454-month trend: +0.0434-month trend+0.043Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.042

Its interest score of 97 out of 100 is driven most by 1-month trend — climbing this month. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Scores 97, but do not trust it

The cheapest listing and the middle of the listings are the same price ($619.99), which means there is effectively one copy for sale. One optimistic seller is not a market. Ignore the interest score here and go look at the actual listings. The score is computed the same way as for every other card, and on this one the ingredients are being fed by a listing that does not represent a real market. Treat the ranking as unreliable until the listings look normal again.

Why is it interesting?

Climbing this month and climbing for 2 months

It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month. It has outpaced the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip. Working against it: the price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+33.0%
Past 2 months+54.2%
Past 4 months+56.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$468.04 - expensive for its set

At $468.04 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 4 of 1059 by price. Against other Ultra Rare cards it sits at the 97th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Ultra Rare from a 4-year-old set

Ultra Rare is a common tier - 2,592 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 13% of our checks over the past year across 332 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Usually yes

At $468.04 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is minor next to the card's value, and cards at this level are usually worth protecting and authenticating regardless of the premium. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 72% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +4.9% on a middling outcome.

Only one listing: treat this forecast as unusable. The model's heaviest input is seller confidence, and that is the exact figure this card's listings distort.

Chance of beating market
72%
not meaningful here
Expected vs market
+4.9%
not meaningful here
Forecast confidence
39
thin data — treat loosely

$394.01 – $677.66 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $456.07 and $577.97. Today it is $468.04.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$468.04What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$619.99The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$619.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+32.5%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+33.0%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+54.2%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+56.9%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+48.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+1.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0388Jumpy
How often it trades13%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record332Observations in the past year
Times the price changed42How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age3.8 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score98 / 100Ranks above 98% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID476,070For looking it up elsewhere

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