Pokespective

Pikachu (Secret)

SWSH: Crown Zenith · Secret Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 51%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$48.78
Interest score
47/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 100% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($21.59–$61.96)

Pikachu (Secret) — price history
$0.00$20.00$40.00$60.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
1-month trend: -0.0771-month trend-0.077Unusual move: -0.073Unusual move-0.0732-month trend: +0.0602-month trend+0.060Near its high: -0.054Near its high-0.054Listing tightness: +0.052Listing tightness+0.052Price steadiness: -0.043Price steadiness-0.043Seller confidence: +0.042Seller confidence+0.0424-month trend: -0.0324-month trend-0.032

Its interest score of 47 out of 100 is driven most by 1-month trend — slipping this month. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 47 out of 100

It ranks above 48% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Slipping this month and sudden drop

It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month. The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-1.9%
Past 2 months+5.2%
Past 4 months-18.8%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$48.78 - expensive for its set

At $48.78 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 1 of 272 by price. Against other Secret Rare cards it sits at the 69th percentile. It is 27% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Secret Rare - uncommon tier, the most valuable card in its set

623 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of the catalogue). It is the single most expensive card of the 272 we track in this set. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 98% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $48.78 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 45% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 51% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +3.5% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
51%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+3.5%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
66
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$44.68 – $65.13 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $48.57 and $57.62. Today it is $48.78.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$48.78What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$41.50The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$54.00The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+10.7%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-1.9%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market+5.2%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market-18.8%Falling behind the market
Unusual move-0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-21.3%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0205Jumpy
How often it trades98%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed357How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age3.7 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score48 / 100Ranks above 48% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID478,103For looking it up elsewhere

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