Pokespective

Greninja (Illustration Contest 2022)

SWSH: Sword & Shield Promo Cards · Promo

Forecast: ahead · 79%NormalSettled and climbing
Price
$64.66
Interest score
96/100 — Standout
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 90% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($39.94–$64.66)

Greninja (Illustration Contest 2022) — price history
$0.00$20.00$40.00$60.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: +0.273Unusual move+0.273Seller confidence: +0.217Seller confidence+0.2171-month trend: +0.1931-month trend+0.1932-month trend: +0.1432-month trend+0.143Price steadiness: +0.084Price steadiness+0.084Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0424-month trend: +0.0214-month trend+0.021Listing tightness: +0.003Listing tightness+0.003

Its interest score of 96 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden jump. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Standout - 96 out of 100

It is in the top 5% of everything we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden jump and sellers holding firm

The recent move is far larger than this card's normal week-to-week wobble - something happened. People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+11.9%
Past 2 months+15.9%
Past 4 months+18.0%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$64.66 - expensive for its set

At $64.66 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 34 of 345 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 84th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 7-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 22% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $64.66 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 34% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 79% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +6.7% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
79%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+6.7%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
85
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$63.82 – $86.14 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $67.67 and $77.39. Today it is $64.66.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$64.66What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$54.95The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$89.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+39.2%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+11.9%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+15.9%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+18.0%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+31.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+2.2Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0104Calm and steady
How often it trades22%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed82How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age6.9 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score97 / 100Ranks above 97% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID485,845For looking it up elsewhere

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