Pokespective

Arven - 166/198 (Regional Championships)

League & Championship Cards · Promo · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 35%Reverse HolofoilVintage
Price
$12.58
Interest score
4/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 53% of the cards we track in this set · at the bottom of its 12-month range ($12.58–$20.00)

Arven - 166/198 (Regional Championships) — price history
$10.00$15.00$20.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: -0.354Unusual move-0.3541-month trend: -0.3231-month trend-0.3232-month trend: -0.2532-month trend-0.253Seller confidence: +0.157Seller confidence+0.157Near its high: -0.077Near its high-0.0774-month trend: -0.0644-month trend-0.064Price steadiness: +0.020Price steadiness+0.020Listing tightness: +0.012Listing tightness+0.012

Its interest score of 4 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden drop. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 4 out of 100

It ranks above 5% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden drop and slipping this month

The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-20.3%
Past 2 months-24.8%
Past 4 months-45.1%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$12.58 - mid-priced for its set

At $12.58 it is mid-priced for its set - number 290 of 632 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 56th percentile. It is 59% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 10-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 12% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $12.58 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 35% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -0.4% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
35%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-0.4%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
65
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$11.39 – $15.87 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $12.19 and $14.16. Today it is $12.58.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$12.58What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$10.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$15.60The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+24.0%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-20.3%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-24.8%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-45.1%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-46.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-2.7Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-37.1%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0145Calm and steady
How often it trades12%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed43How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age10.3 yearsVintage
Interest score5 / 100Ranks above 5% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID499,381For looking it up elsewhere

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