Pokespective

Togekiss - 038 (Prerelease) [Staff]

SV: Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 40%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$40.20
Interest score
61/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 86% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($18.06–$40.22)

Togekiss - 038 (Prerelease) [Staff] — price history
$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-062025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
2-month trend: +0.0182-month trend+0.018Listing tightness: +0.018Listing tightness+0.018Near its high: +0.013Near its high+0.013Price steadiness: +0.009Price steadiness+0.0094-month trend: -0.0054-month trend-0.005Unusual move: +0.004Unusual move+0.0041-month trend: +0.0031-month trend+0.003Seller confidence: +0.002Seller confidence+0.002

Its interest score of 61 out of 100 is driven most by 2-month trend — climbing for 2 months. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 61 out of 100

It ranks above 62% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Climbing for 2 months and tight listings

It has outpaced the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip. Asking prices are clustered tightly together, which is the mark of an orderly market. Working against it: a long slide against the market over four months.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mostly yes

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+0.8%
Past 2 months+1.5%
Past 4 months-4.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$40.20 - expensive for its set

At $40.20 it is expensive for its set - number 42 of 288 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 77th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 3-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 18% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $40.20 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 55% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 40% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -1.0% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
40%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-1.0%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
66
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$36.07 – $50.68 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $38.65 and $45.10. Today it is $40.20.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$40.20What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$28.78The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$43.49The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+8.2%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+0.8%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+1.5%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market-4.6%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+12.4%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.2Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0154Calm and steady
How often it trades18%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed64How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age3.5 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score62 / 100Ranks above 62% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID513,427For looking it up elsewhere

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