Pokespective

Gengar - 066/196

Prize Pack Series Cards · Rare

Forecast: behind · 21%NormalSettled and climbing
Price
$21.34
Interest score
1/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 90% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($10.51–$35.96)

Gengar - 066/196 — price history
$0.00$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-062025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: -0.334Unusual move-0.3341-month trend: -0.3271-month trend-0.3272-month trend: -0.3242-month trend-0.324Near its high: -0.081Near its high-0.0814-month trend: -0.0684-month trend-0.068Listing tightness: +0.036Listing tightness+0.036Seller confidence: +0.033Seller confidence+0.033Price steadiness: -0.001Price steadiness-0.001

Its interest score of 1 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden drop. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 1 out of 100

It ranks above 2% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden drop and slipping this month

The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-20.6%
Past 2 months-35.5%
Past 4 months-49.2%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$21.34 - expensive for its set

At $21.34 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 104 of 1059 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 87th percentile - toward the top. It is 69% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 4-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 41% of our checks over the past year across 361 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $21.34 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $43.34 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 21% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -8.9% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
21%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-8.9%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
75
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$17.57 – $24.89 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $18.86 and $22.09. Today it is $21.34.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$21.34What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$17.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$23.50The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+10.1%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-20.6%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-35.5%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-49.2%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-58.9%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-2.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-40.7%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0163Calm and steady
How often it trades41%Trades readily
Price checks on record361Observations in the past year
Times the price changed149How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age3.8 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score2 / 100Ranks above 2% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID515,364For looking it up elsewhere

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