Pokespective

Gengar

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 · Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 44%HolofoilSettled and climbing
Price
$3.47
Interest score
42/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 88% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($0.56–$4.18)

Gengar — price history
$0.00$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: -0.276Price steadiness-0.2761-month trend: +0.2341-month trend+0.234Seller confidence: -0.223Seller confidence-0.2232-month trend: +0.1472-month trend+0.147Near its high: -0.046Near its high-0.046Listing tightness: -0.044Listing tightness-0.044Unusual move: +0.008Unusual move+0.0084-month trend: +0.0064-month trend+0.006

Its interest score of 42 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — jumpy price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 42 out of 100

It ranks above 43% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Jumpy price and climbing this month

The price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing. It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+16.1%
Past 2 months+16.5%
Past 4 months+3.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$3.47 - expensive for its set

At $3.47 it is expensive for its set - number 46 of 361 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 65th percentile. It is 20% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 3-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 99% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $3.47 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 44% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +0.1% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
44%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+0.1%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
50
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$2.40 – $5.67 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $3.02 and $4.40. Today it is $3.47.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$3.47What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$1.49The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$3.41The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-1.7%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+16.1%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+16.5%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+3.5%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+19.6%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-17.0%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.1139Jumpy
How often it trades99%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed360How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age3.0 yearsSettled and climbing
Interest score43 / 100Ranks above 43% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID516,663For looking it up elsewhere

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