Pokespective

Aegislash ex - 230/182

SV04: Paradox Rift · Ultra Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 39%HolofoilSupply drying up
Price
$2.04
Interest score
18/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 82% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($1.16–$2.69)

Aegislash ex - 230/182 — price history
$1.00$1.10$1.20$1.30$1.40$1.50$1.60$1.70$1.80$1.90$2.00$2.10 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: -0.117Price steadiness-0.1171-month trend: -0.1171-month trend-0.117Seller confidence: -0.098Seller confidence-0.098Unusual move: -0.092Unusual move-0.092Near its high: -0.059Near its high-0.0594-month trend: -0.0354-month trend-0.035Listing tightness: -0.018Listing tightness-0.0182-month trend: -0.0102-month trend-0.010

Its interest score of 18 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — jumpy price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 18 out of 100

It ranks above 18% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Jumpy price and slipping this month

The price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-3.7%
Past 2 months-0.8%
Past 4 months-20.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$2.04 - expensive for its set

At $2.04 it is expensive for its set - number 76 of 428 by price. Against other Ultra Rare cards it sits at the 21th percentile - toward the bottom. It is 32% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Ultra Rare from a 3-year-old set

Ultra Rare is a common tier - 2,592 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 88% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $2.04 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 39% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -0.4% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
39%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-0.4%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
56
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$1.67 – $2.73 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $1.91 and $2.37. Today it is $2.04.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$2.04What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$1.12The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$2.09The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+2.5%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-3.7%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-0.8%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-20.9%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-11.4%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-24.2%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0310Jumpy
How often it trades88%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed321How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age2.9 yearsSupply drying up
Interest score18 / 100Ranks above 18% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID523,911For looking it up elsewhere

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