Pokespective

Bulbasaur (Blue Border)

My First Battle · Unconfirmed

Forecast: ahead · 72%NormalSupply drying up
Price
$20.09
Interest score
86/100 — Notable
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 96% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($6.39–$20.42)

Bulbasaur (Blue Border) — price history
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.242Seller confidence+0.242Listing tightness: +0.086Listing tightness+0.086Unusual move: +0.079Unusual move+0.0791-month trend: +0.0581-month trend+0.058Price steadiness: +0.035Price steadiness+0.0352-month trend: +0.0252-month trend+0.0254-month trend: +0.0024-month trend+0.002Near its high: -0.001Near its high-0.001

Its interest score of 86 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Notable - 86 out of 100

It ranks above 87% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and tight listings

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. Asking prices are clustered tightly together, which is the mark of an orderly market. Working against it: it sits well below its high of the past year.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+3.0%
Past 2 months+2.1%
Past 4 months+0.5%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$20.09 - expensive for its set

At $20.09 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 3 of 48 by price. Against other Unconfirmed cards it sits at the 97th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Unconfirmed - genuinely scarce, #3 most valuable in its set

Only 66 of the cards we track are Unconfirmed - under 0.2% of the catalogue. Only 2 card(s) in this set are worth more.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 28% of our checks over the past year across 353 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $20.09 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $42.09 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 72% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +8.4% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
72%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+8.4%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
77
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$19.87 – $27.77 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $21.21 and $24.64. Today it is $20.09.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$20.09What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$26.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$30.00The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+49.3%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+3.0%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+2.1%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+0.5%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+5.9%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.6Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-1.6%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0134Calm and steady
How often it trades28%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record353Observations in the past year
Times the price changed99How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age3.0 yearsSupply drying up
Interest score87 / 100Ranks above 87% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID523,984For looking it up elsewhere

More from My First Battle