SV: Paldean Fates · Shiny Rare · Holofoil
Pricier than 76% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($2.82–$4.62)
Its interest score of 62 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.
Is this card interesting right now?
Above average - 62 out of 100
It ranks above 62% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.
Why is it interesting?
Sellers undercutting and climbing this month
People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month.
Is it becoming more popular?
Mostly yes
Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.
Is it expensive or cheap?
$4.58 - expensive for its set
At $4.58 it is expensive for its set - number 79 of 327 by price. Against other Shiny Rare cards it sits at the 50th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.
What makes this card unusual?
Shiny Rare - genuinely scarce
Only 120 of the cards we track are Shiny Rare - under 0.3% of the catalogue. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.
Could you actually buy or sell it?
Easily - it trades often
The price changed in 79% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.
Is grading worth considering?
No
At $4.58 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.
Roughly in line with the market
An estimated 47% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +0.1% on a middling outcome.
$4.04 – $5.95 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $4.40 and $5.25. Today it is $4.58.
Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.
Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.
| Market price | $4.58 | What copies have recently sold for |
| Cheapest listing | $3.00 | The lowest price anyone is currently asking |
| Middle of listings | $4.54 | The midpoint of what sellers are asking |
| Seller confidence | -0.9% | Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out |
| 1-month trend vs market | +9.5% | Outpacing the market |
| 2-month trend vs market | +2.5% | Outpacing the market |
| 4-month trend vs market | -8.5% | Falling behind the market |
| Versus same-set, same-rarity cards | +2.6% | Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score |
| Unusual move | +0.9 | Within its normal range of movement |
| Below its 12-month high | -0.9% | At or near its high |
| Day-to-day price movement | 0.0218 | Jumpy |
| How often it trades | 79% | Trades readily |
| Price checks on record | 365 | Observations in the past year |
| Times the price changed | 288 | How many of those were real moves |
| Actively traded | Yes | Whether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything |
| Set age | 2.7 years | Supply drying up |
| Interest score | 62 / 100 | Ranks above 62% of tracked cards |
| TCGplayer product ID | 534,527 | For looking it up elsewhere |