Pokespective

Radiant Greninja - 2023 (Tord Reklev)

World Championship Decks · Radiant Rare

Forecast: ahead · 79%NormalVintage
Price
$6.65
Interest score
94/100 — Notable
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 88% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($5.04–$6.65)

Radiant Greninja - 2023 (Tord Reklev) — price history
$3.70$3.80$3.90$4.00$4.10$4.20$4.30$4.40$4.50$4.60$4.70$4.80 2024-032024-082024-122025-072025-122026-052026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.381Seller confidence+0.381Unusual move: +0.189Unusual move+0.1891-month trend: +0.1241-month trend+0.124Price steadiness: +0.085Price steadiness+0.085Listing tightness: -0.073Listing tightness-0.0732-month trend: +0.0682-month trend+0.068Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0424-month trend: -0.0014-month trend-0.001

Its interest score of 94 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Notable - 94 out of 100

It ranks above 95% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and sudden jump

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. The recent move is far larger than this card's normal week-to-week wobble - something happened. Working against it: asking prices are scattered, so the quoted price is not really the price.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mostly yes

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+6.6%
Past 2 months+6.0%
Past 4 months-1.8%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$6.65 - expensive for its set

At $6.65 it is expensive for its set - number 246 of 1989 by price. Against other Radiant Rare cards it sits at the 46th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Radiant Rare - genuinely scarce

Only 35 of the cards we track are Radiant Rare - under 0.1% of the catalogue. The set is about 8 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 13% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $6.65 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 79% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +11.6% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
79%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+11.6%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
77
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$6.87 – $9.26 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $7.28 and $8.32. Today it is $6.65.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$6.65What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$5.75The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$17.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+170.5%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+6.6%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+6.0%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market-1.8%Falling behind the market
Unusual move+1.4Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0103Calm and steady
How often it trades13%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed48How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age8.2 yearsVintage
Interest score95 / 100Ranks above 95% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID542,052For looking it up elsewhere

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