Pokespective

Hydrapple ex - 167/142

SV07: Stellar Crown · Special Illustration Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 38%HolofoilSupply drying up
Price
$38.61
Interest score
39/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 99% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($19.41–$41.67)

Hydrapple ex - 167/142 — price history
$20.00$40.00$60.00 2024-092025-012025-052025-092026-012026-052026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
2-month trend: -0.1332-month trend-0.133Seller confidence: -0.118Seller confidence-0.118Price steadiness: +0.064Price steadiness+0.064Listing tightness: +0.051Listing tightness+0.0511-month trend: -0.0431-month trend-0.043Unusual move: -0.038Unusual move-0.038Near its high: -0.024Near its high-0.0244-month trend: +0.0064-month trend+0.006

Its interest score of 39 out of 100 is driven most by 2-month trend — sliding for 2 months. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 39 out of 100

It ranks above 40% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sliding for 2 months and sellers undercutting

It has trailed the market over the past two months. People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.9%
Past 2 months-10.0%
Past 4 months+3.4%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$38.61 - expensive for its set

At $38.61 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 4 of 300 by price. Against other Special Illustration Rare cards it sits at the 53th percentile. It is 8% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Special Illustration Rare - genuinely scarce

Only 232 of the cards we track are Special Illustration Rare - under 0.5% of the catalogue. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 91% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $38.61 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $60.61 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 38% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +0.3% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
38%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+0.3%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
87
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$35.63 – $48.70 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $37.87 and $43.56. Today it is $38.61.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$38.61What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$30.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$39.20The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+1.5%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-0.9%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-10.0%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market+3.4%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+29.8%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-7.3%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0114Calm and steady
How often it trades91%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed332How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age2.0 yearsSupply drying up
Interest score40 / 100Ranks above 40% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID567,472For looking it up elsewhere

More from SV07: Stellar Crown