Pokespective

Gengar (Cosmos Holo)

Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 · Holo Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 43%HolofoilSupply drying up
Price
$3.72
Interest score
15/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 100% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($1.52–$7.21)

Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — price history
$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00 2024-082025-012025-052025-092026-012026-052026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: -0.149Price steadiness-0.1491-month trend: -0.1221-month trend-0.122Near its high: -0.089Near its high-0.089Unusual move: -0.088Unusual move-0.088Listing tightness: -0.059Listing tightness-0.0594-month trend: -0.0494-month trend-0.0492-month trend: -0.0322-month trend-0.032Seller confidence: -0.007Seller confidence-0.007

Its interest score of 15 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — jumpy price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 15 out of 100

It ranks above 15% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Jumpy price and slipping this month

The price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-3.9%
Past 2 months-2.3%
Past 4 months-32.0%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$3.72 - expensive for its set

At $3.72 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 1 of 30 by price. Against other Holo Rare cards it sits at the 40th percentile. It is 94% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

The most valuable card in its set

Holo Rare is a common tier - 3,435 tracked cards share it. It is the single most expensive card of the 30 we track in this set. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 96% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $3.72 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 43% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -1.7% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
43%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-1.7%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
53
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$2.94 – $5.05 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $3.40 and $4.31. Today it is $3.72.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$3.72What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$1.50The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$4.00The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+7.5%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-3.9%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-2.3%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-32.0%Falling behind the market
Unusual move-0.1Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-48.4%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0389Jumpy
How often it trades96%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed349How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age2.1 yearsSupply drying up
Interest score15 / 100Ranks above 15% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID570,271For looking it up elsewhere

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