Pokespective

Raging Bolt ex

SV: Prismatic Evolutions · Special Illustration Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 39%HolofoilSupply drying up
Price
$66.68
Interest score
41/100 — Ordinary
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 97% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($59.64–$77.41)

Raging Bolt ex — price history
$50.00$75.00$100.00$125.00$150.00$175.00 2025-012025-042025-082025-112026-032026-062026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: -0.265Unusual move-0.265Price steadiness: +0.265Price steadiness+0.2651-month trend: -0.1351-month trend-0.1352-month trend: -0.1242-month trend-0.124Listing tightness: +0.093Listing tightness+0.093Near its high: -0.040Near its high-0.0404-month trend: -0.0324-month trend-0.032Seller confidence: +0.024Seller confidence+0.024

Its interest score of 41 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden drop. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Ordinary - 41 out of 100

It ranks above 41% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden drop and very steady price

The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement. The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-4.6%
Past 2 months-9.2%
Past 4 months-18.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$66.68 - expensive for its set

At $66.68 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 14 of 448 by price. Against other Special Illustration Rare cards it sits at the 71th percentile. It is 16% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Special Illustration Rare - genuinely scarce

Only 232 of the cards we track are Special Illustration Rare - under 0.5% of the catalogue. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 70% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $66.68 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 33% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 39% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -0.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
39%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-0.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
100
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$63.33 – $78.00 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $65.96 and $72.39. Today it is $66.68.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$66.68What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$65.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$73.22The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+9.8%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-4.6%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-9.2%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-18.6%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+4.5%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-1.5Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-13.9%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0042Calm and steady
How often it trades70%Trades readily
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed257How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age1.7 yearsSupply drying up
Interest score41 / 100Ranks above 41% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID610,521For looking it up elsewhere

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