Pokespective

Radiant Greninja - 2024 (Jesse Parker)

World Championship Decks · Radiant Rare

Forecast: slight edge · 56%NormalVintage
Price
$8.72
Interest score
79/100 — Not trustworthy
Pricing
Very few listings

Pricier than 90% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($7.46–$8.99)

Radiant Greninja - 2024 (Jesse Parker) — price history
$7.30$7.40$7.50$7.60$7.70$7.80$7.90$8.00$8.10$8.20$8.30$8.40 2025-112025-122026-022026-042026-062026-072026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.473Seller confidence+0.4732-month trend: -0.0802-month trend-0.080Listing tightness: -0.060Listing tightness-0.060Price steadiness: +0.038Price steadiness+0.0384-month trend: -0.0114-month trend-0.011Near its high: -0.008Near its high-0.008Unusual move: +0.007Unusual move+0.0071-month trend: -0.0031-month trend-0.003

Its interest score of 79 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Scores 79, but do not trust it

Asking prices are 4.7x what the card last sold for. At that extreme this is one or two outlier listings on a nearly empty page, not sellers holding firm - and seller confidence is the heaviest ingredient in the score. Check the real listings before believing this ranking. The score is computed the same way as for every other card, and on this one the ingredients are being fed by a listing that does not represent a real market. Treat the ranking as unreliable until the listings look normal again.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and sliding for 2 months

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. It has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+0.6%
Past 2 months-5.6%
Past 4 months-7.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$8.72 - expensive for its set

At $8.72 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 190 of 1989 by price. Against other Radiant Rare cards it sits at the 51th percentile. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

Radiant Rare - genuinely scarce

Only 35 of the cards we track are Radiant Rare - under 0.1% of the catalogue. The set is about 8 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 8% of our checks over the past year across 309 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $8.72 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 56% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +6.9% on a middling outcome.

Very few listings: treat this forecast as unusable. The model's heaviest input is seller confidence, and that is the exact figure this card's listings distort.

Chance of beating market
56%
not meaningful here
Expected vs market
+6.9%
not meaningful here
Forecast confidence
62
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$8.51 – $11.86 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $9.08 and $10.53. Today it is $8.72.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$8.72What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$15.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$40.65The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+366.2%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+0.6%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market-5.6%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-7.9%Falling behind the market
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-3.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0132Calm and steady
How often it trades8%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record309Observations in the past year
Times the price changed26How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age8.2 yearsVintage
Interest score80 / 100Ranks above 80% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID637,534For looking it up elsewhere

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