Pokespective

Alakazam - 003 [Staff]

ME: Mega Evolution Promo · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 48%HolofoilBoxes still being opened
Price
$170.98
Interest score
74/100 — Not trustworthy
Pricing
Only one listing

Pricier than 98% of the cards we track in this set · in the middle of its 12-month range ($142.78–$200.00)

Alakazam - 003 [Staff] — price history
$140.00$160.00$180.00$200.00 2025-102025-112026-012026-032026-052026-072026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Listing tightness: +0.145Listing tightness+0.145Price steadiness: +0.144Price steadiness+0.144Seller confidence: +0.109Seller confidence+0.1092-month trend: -0.0672-month trend-0.067Near its high: -0.042Near its high-0.0424-month trend: -0.0294-month trend-0.0291-month trend: -0.0191-month trend-0.019Unusual move: +0.019Unusual move+0.019

Its interest score of 74 out of 100 is driven most by listing tightness — tight listings. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Scores 74, but do not trust it

The cheapest listing and the middle of the listings are the same price ($199.98), which means there is effectively one copy for sale. One optimistic seller is not a market. Ignore the interest score here and go look at the actual listings. The score is computed the same way as for every other card, and on this one the ingredients are being fed by a listing that does not represent a real market. Treat the ranking as unreliable until the listings look normal again.

Why is it interesting?

Tight listings and very steady price

Asking prices are clustered tightly together, which is the mark of an orderly market. The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around. Working against it: it has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.0%
Past 2 months-4.7%
Past 4 months-17.2%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$170.98 - expensive for its set

At $170.98 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 4 of 147 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 94th percentile - toward the top. It is 17% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a recent set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 26% of our checks over the past year across 356 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Usually yes

At $170.98 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is minor next to the card's value, and cards at this level are usually worth protecting and authenticating regardless of the premium. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 48% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +2.5% on a middling outcome.

Only one listing: treat this forecast as unusable. The model's heaviest input is seller confidence, and that is the exact figure this card's listings distort.

Chance of beating market
48%
not meaningful here
Expected vs market
+2.5%
not meaningful here
Forecast confidence
93
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$163.79 – $214.42 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $172.65 and $194.71. Today it is $170.98.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$170.98What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$199.98The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$199.98The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+17.0%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-0.0%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-4.7%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-17.2%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+20.1%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-14.5%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0076Calm and steady
How often it trades26%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record356Observations in the past year
Times the price changed94How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age1.0 yearsBoxes still being opened
Interest score74 / 100Ranks above 74% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID656,385For looking it up elsewhere

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