Pokespective

Togedemaru - 104/094

ME02: Phantasmal Flames · Illustration Rare · Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 36%HolofoilBoxes still being opened
Price
$2.56
Interest score
6/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 92% of the cards we track in this set · near the bottom of its 12-month range ($1.38–$9.31)

Togedemaru - 104/094 — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00 2025-112026-012026-022026-042026-062026-072026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Price steadiness: -0.262Price steadiness-0.2621-month trend: -0.2091-month trend-0.2092-month trend: -0.1172-month trend-0.117Near its high: -0.112Near its high-0.112Unusual move: -0.097Unusual move-0.097Listing tightness: -0.019Listing tightness-0.019Seller confidence: +0.008Seller confidence+0.0084-month trend: +0.0034-month trend+0.003

Its interest score of 6 out of 100 is driven most by price steadiness — jumpy price. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 6 out of 100

It ranks above 7% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Jumpy price and slipping this month

The price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-9.4%
Past 2 months-8.6%
Past 4 months+1.1%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$2.56 - expensive for its set

At $2.56 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 18 of 217 by price. Against other Illustration Rare cards it sits at the 7th percentile - toward the bottom. It is 264% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

Illustration Rare - uncommon tier

517 tracked cards share this rarity (1% of the catalogue). This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 96% of our checks over the past year across 316 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $2.56 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 36% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -6.6% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
36%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-6.6%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
50
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$1.71 – $3.75 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $2.11 and $2.98. Today it is $2.56.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$2.56What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$1.48The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$2.78The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+8.6%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-9.4%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-8.6%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market+1.1%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+21.2%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-0.2Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-72.5%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0916Jumpy
How often it trades96%Trades readily
Price checks on record316Observations in the past year
Times the price changed303How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age0.9 yearsBoxes still being opened
Interest score7 / 100Ranks above 7% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID662,233For looking it up elsewhere

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