Pokespective

Mega Lucario ex - 012

Jumbo Cards · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: in line · 50%HolofoilVintage
Price
$2.77
Interest score
61/100 — Above average
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 19% of the cards we track in this set · near the bottom of its 12-month range ($2.17–$4.99)

Mega Lucario ex - 012 — price history
$1.90$2.00$2.10$2.20$2.30$2.40$2.50$2.60$2.70$2.80$2.90$3.00 2025-112026-012026-022026-042026-062026-072026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.202Seller confidence-0.2021-month trend: +0.1841-month trend+0.184Unusual move: +0.166Unusual move+0.166Near its high: -0.085Near its high-0.0852-month trend: +0.0792-month trend+0.079Listing tightness: -0.062Listing tightness-0.062Price steadiness: -0.026Price steadiness-0.0264-month trend: +0.0094-month trend+0.009

Its interest score of 61 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 61 out of 100

It ranks above 62% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and climbing this month

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+11.2%
Past 2 months+7.4%
Past 4 months+6.0%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$2.77 - cheap for its set

At $2.77 it is one of the cheaper cards in its set - number 260 of 345 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 29th percentile. It is 80% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a 11-year-old set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 11 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 38% of our checks over the past year across 315 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $2.77 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Roughly in line with the market

An estimated 50% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +2.6% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
50%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+2.6%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
70
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$2.53 – $3.64 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $2.74 and $3.23. Today it is $2.77.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$2.77What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$0.99The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$2.75The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-0.7%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+11.2%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+7.4%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+6.0%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+18.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+1.2Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-44.5%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0187Calm and steady
How often it trades38%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record315Observations in the past year
Times the price changed119How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age11.5 yearsVintage
Interest score62 / 100Ranks above 62% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID663,178For looking it up elsewhere

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