Pokespective

Toxtricity - 017 [Staff]

ME: Mega Evolution Promo · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 42%HolofoilBoxes still being opened
Price
$40.11
Interest score
72/100 — Above average
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 86% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($11.65–$41.20)

Toxtricity - 017 [Staff] — price history
$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00 2025-112026-012026-022026-042026-062026-082026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Listing tightness: +0.098Listing tightness+0.098Unusual move: +0.091Unusual move+0.091Price steadiness: +0.085Price steadiness+0.085Seller confidence: -0.059Seller confidence-0.0591-month trend: +0.0451-month trend+0.0452-month trend: -0.0232-month trend-0.023Near its high: -0.006Near its high-0.0064-month trend: -0.0044-month trend-0.004

Its interest score of 72 out of 100 is driven most by listing tightness — tight listings. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 72 out of 100

It ranks above 72% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Tight listings and sudden jump

Asking prices are clustered tightly together, which is the mark of an orderly market. The recent move is far larger than this card's normal week-to-week wobble - something happened. Working against it: people selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+2.4%
Past 2 months-1.7%
Past 4 months-3.9%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$40.11 - expensive for its set

At $40.11 it is expensive for its set - number 20 of 147 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 77th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a recent set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Easily - it trades often

The price changed in 54% of our checks over the past year across 312 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $40.11 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 55% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 42% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +1.6% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
42%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+1.6%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
91
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$37.70 – $50.85 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $39.97 and $45.69. Today it is $40.11.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$40.11What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$38.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$41.96The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+4.6%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+2.4%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market-1.7%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-3.9%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+39.3%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.7Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-2.6%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0103Calm and steady
How often it trades54%Trades readily
Price checks on record312Observations in the past year
Times the price changed170How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age1.0 yearsBoxes still being opened
Interest score72 / 100Ranks above 72% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID663,194For looking it up elsewhere

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