Pokespective

Lillie's Determination (Regional Championships)

League & Championship Cards · Uncommon · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: behind · 21%Reverse HolofoilVintage
Price
$45.25
Interest score
4/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 75% of the cards we track in this set · at the bottom of its 12-month range ($45.25–$65.89)

Lillie's Determination (Regional Championships) — price history
$45.00$50.00$55.00$60.00$65.00 2026-022026-032026-042026-062026-072026-082026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Unusual move: -0.334Unusual move-0.3341-month trend: -0.2981-month trend-0.2982-month trend: -0.2322-month trend-0.232Listing tightness: +0.074Listing tightness+0.074Near its high: -0.070Near its high-0.0704-month trend: -0.0504-month trend-0.050Price steadiness: +0.039Price steadiness+0.039Seller confidence: +0.003Seller confidence+0.003

Its interest score of 4 out of 100 is driven most by unusual move — sudden drop. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 4 out of 100

It ranks above 5% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sudden drop and slipping this month

The recent drop is far larger than this card's normal movement. It has fallen behind the rest of the market over the past month.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-17.3%
Past 2 months-21.8%
Past 4 months-32.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$45.25 - expensive for its set

At $45.25 it is expensive for its set - number 157 of 632 by price. Against other Uncommon cards it sits at the 98th percentile - toward the top. It is 46% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Uncommon from a 10-year-old set

Uncommon is a common tier - 11,470 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 10 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 19% of our checks over the past year across 220 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $45.25 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 49% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to lag the market

An estimated 21% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around -8.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
21%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
-8.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
68
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$37.68 – $52.51 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $40.21 and $46.64. Today it is $45.25.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$45.25What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$40.73The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$48.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+8.3%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market-17.3%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-21.8%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-32.6%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-22.0%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move-2.5Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-31.3%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0131Calm and steady
How often it trades19%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record220Observations in the past year
Times the price changed42How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age10.3 yearsVintage
Interest score5 / 100Ranks above 5% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID676,185For looking it up elsewhere

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