Pokespective

Chandelure

Noble Victories · Rare · Reverse Holofoil

Forecast: slightly behind · 43%Reverse HolofoilVintage
Price
$15.87
Interest score
57/100 — Above average
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 96% of the cards we track in this set · near the bottom of its 12-month range ($15.27–$17.44)

Chandelure — price history
$14.00$15.00$16.00$17.00$18.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.279Seller confidence-0.279Price steadiness: +0.126Price steadiness+0.126Listing tightness: +0.113Listing tightness+0.113Unusual move: +0.089Unusual move+0.089Near its high: -0.028Near its high-0.0281-month trend: +0.0261-month trend+0.0264-month trend: -0.0254-month trend-0.0252-month trend: -0.0212-month trend-0.021

Its interest score of 57 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Above average - 57 out of 100

It ranks above 57% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and very steady price

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. The price moves in small, calm steps rather than lurching around.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mixed

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+1.7%
Past 2 months-1.6%
Past 4 months-15.1%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$15.87 - expensive for its set

At $15.87 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 9 of 198 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 84th percentile - toward the top. It is 10% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 15-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it. This is the Reverse Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 15 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 8% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Probably not

At $15.87 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $37.87 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 43% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +2.9% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
43%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+2.9%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
77
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$15.19 – $20.11 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $16.05 and $18.19. Today it is $15.87.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$15.87What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$14.49The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$15.01The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-5.4%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market+1.7%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market-1.6%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-15.1%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-0.1%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.6Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-9.0%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0084Calm and steady
How often it trades8%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed30How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age14.9 yearsVintage
Interest score57 / 100Ranks above 57% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID84,164For looking it up elsewhere

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