Pokespective

Erika's Kindness

Gym Challenge · Rare · 1st Edition

Forecast: ahead · 73%1st EditionVintage
Price
$51.04
Interest score
87/100 — Notable
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 86% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($20.83–$55.24)

Erika's Kindness — price history
$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00$50.00$60.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.304Seller confidence+0.304Unusual move: +0.125Unusual move+0.1251-month trend: +0.1131-month trend+0.113Listing tightness: -0.035Listing tightness-0.0352-month trend: +0.0312-month trend+0.031Near its high: -0.025Near its high-0.0254-month trend: +0.0204-month trend+0.020Price steadiness: +0.017Price steadiness+0.017

Its interest score of 87 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Notable - 87 out of 100

It ranks above 88% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and sudden jump

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. The recent move is far larger than this card's normal week-to-week wobble - something happened. Working against it: asking prices are scattered, so the quoted price is not really the price.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+5.9%
Past 2 months+2.6%
Past 4 months+17.7%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$51.04 - expensive for its set

At $51.04 it is expensive for its set - number 39 of 264 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 95th percentile - toward the top. It is 8% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 26-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it. This is the 1st Edition printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is about 26 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 16% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $51.04 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 43% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 73% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +6.6% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
73%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+6.6%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
68
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$49.43 – $69.00 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $52.90 and $61.54. Today it is $51.04.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$51.04What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$44.59The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$94.50The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+85.1%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+5.9%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+2.6%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+17.7%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+23.2%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.9Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-7.6%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0147Calm and steady
How often it trades16%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed59How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age25.9 yearsVintage
Interest score88 / 100Ranks above 88% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID85,299For looking it up elsewhere

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