Pokespective

Gengar (48)

Expedition · Rare

Forecast: slight edge · 61%NormalVintage
Price
$181.68
Interest score
86/100 — Not trustworthy
Pricing
Very few listings

Pricier than 90% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($78.50–$181.68)

Gengar (48) — price history
$50.00$100.00$150.00$200.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.518Seller confidence+0.518Listing tightness: -0.097Listing tightness-0.097Price steadiness: -0.049Price steadiness-0.0492-month trend: +0.0432-month trend+0.043Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.0421-month trend: +0.0421-month trend+0.042Unusual move: +0.020Unusual move+0.0204-month trend: -0.0044-month trend-0.004

Its interest score of 86 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Scores 86, but do not trust it

Asking prices are 5.8x what the card last sold for. At that extreme this is one or two outlier listings on a nearly empty page, not sellers holding firm - and seller confidence is the heaviest ingredient in the score. Check the real listings before believing this ranking. The score is computed the same way as for every other card, and on this one the ingredients are being fed by a listing that does not represent a real market. Treat the ranking as unreliable until the listings look normal again.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and scattered listings

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. Asking prices are scattered, so the quoted price is not really the price.

Is it becoming more popular?

Mostly yes

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+2.3%
Past 2 months+3.7%
Past 4 months-3.7%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$181.68 - expensive for its set

At $181.68 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 32 of 324 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 99th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Rare from a 24-year-old set

Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it. The set is about 24 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 12% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Usually yes

At $181.68 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is minor next to the card's value, and cards at this level are usually worth protecting and authenticating regardless of the premium. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly ahead of the market

An estimated 61% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +6.1% on a middling outcome.

Very few listings: treat this forecast as unusable. The model's heaviest input is seller confidence, and that is the exact figure this card's listings distort.

Chance of beating market
61%
not meaningful here
Expected vs market
+6.1%
not meaningful here
Forecast confidence
50
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$170.29 – $249.41 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $185.30 and $220.33. Today it is $181.68.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$181.68What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$235.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$1,061The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+484.1%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+2.3%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+3.7%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market-3.7%Falling behind the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards-14.1%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.3Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0211Jumpy
How often it trades12%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed43How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age24.0 yearsVintage
Interest score86 / 100Ranks above 86% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID85,673For looking it up elsewhere

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