Pokespective

Luxio

POP Series 8 · Uncommon

Forecast: ahead · 74%NormalJust released
Price
$8.90
Interest score
85/100 — Notable
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 55% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($4.30–$8.90)

Luxio — price history
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.291Seller confidence+0.2911-month trend: +0.1451-month trend+0.145Price steadiness: -0.128Price steadiness-0.1282-month trend: +0.0712-month trend+0.071Unusual move: +0.062Unusual move+0.062Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.042Listing tightness: -0.004Listing tightness-0.0044-month trend: +0.0034-month trend+0.003

Its interest score of 85 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Notable - 85 out of 100

It ranks above 85% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and climbing this month

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month. Working against it: the price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+8.1%
Past 2 months+6.3%
Past 4 months+1.0%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$8.90 - mid-priced for its set

At $8.90 it is mid-priced for its set - number 16 of 33 by price. Against other Uncommon cards it sits at the 89th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Uncommon from a recent set

Uncommon is a common tier - 11,470 tracked cards share it. The set is brand new - prices this early are driven by hype and packs still being opened, and usually settle downward.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 10% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $8.90 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 74% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +9.8% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
74%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+9.8%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
38
thin data — treat loosely

$7.97 – $13.26 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $9.15 and $11.42. Today it is $8.90.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$8.90What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$9.20The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$15.60The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+75.3%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+8.1%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+6.3%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+1.0%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+16.7%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.5Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0334Jumpy
How often it trades10%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed37How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age0.0 yearsJust released
Interest score85 / 100Ranks above 85% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID86,941For looking it up elsewhere

More from POP Series 8