Pokespective

Pikachu - 012 (EX Series Collector's Tin)

Nintendo Promos · Promo · Holofoil

Forecast: ahead · 81%HolofoilJust released
Price
$149.44
Interest score
89/100 — Notable
Pricing
Rarely trades

Pricier than 75% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($49.90–$149.44)

Pikachu - 012 (EX Series Collector's Tin) — price history
$50.00$100.00$150.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: +0.303Seller confidence+0.3032-month trend: +0.1392-month trend+0.1391-month trend: +0.0981-month trend+0.098Unusual move: +0.069Unusual move+0.069Price steadiness: -0.052Price steadiness-0.052Near its high: +0.042Near its high+0.042Listing tightness: -0.030Listing tightness-0.0304-month trend: +0.0304-month trend+0.030

Its interest score of 89 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Notable - 89 out of 100

It ranks above 89% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers holding firm and climbing for 2 months

People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. It has outpaced the market over two months, which is long enough to be a trend rather than a blip. Working against it: the price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing.

Is it becoming more popular?

Yes - consistently

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month+5.0%
Past 2 months+15.1%
Past 4 months+30.7%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$149.44 - expensive for its set

At $149.44 it is expensive for its set - number 22 of 99 by price. Against other Promo cards it sits at the 93th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.

What makes this card unusual?

An ordinary Promo from a recent set

Promo is a common tier - 4,010 tracked cards share it. This is the Holofoil printing, which is priced as a completely separate market from the other printings of the same artwork. The set is brand new - prices this early are driven by hype and packs still being opened, and usually settle downward.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Slowly - it rarely trades

The price changed in 21% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

Worth a look

At $149.44 raw, the roughly $22.00 fee is about 15% of the card's value, so a strong grade can pay for itself. It hinges entirely on condition - centering, edges and surface. This card trades infrequently, so a graded copy could take a while to sell. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Expected to outpace the market

An estimated 81% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +9.0% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
81%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+9.0%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
57
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$143.74 – $210.98 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $156.49 and $186.25. Today it is $149.44.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$149.44What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$135.00The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$275.00The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence+84.0%Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry
1-month trend vs market+5.0%Outpacing the market
2-month trend vs market+15.1%Outpacing the market
4-month trend vs market+30.7%Outpacing the market
Versus same-set, same-rarity cards+9.4%Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score
Unusual move+0.5Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-0.0%At or near its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0214Jumpy
How often it trades21%Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed76How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age0.0 yearsJust released
Interest score89 / 100Ranks above 89% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID88,067For looking it up elsewhere

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