Pokespective

Pikachu

EX Trainer Kit 1: Latias & Latios · Common

Forecast: slightly behind · 41%NormalJust released
Price
$7.47
Interest score
12/100 — Quiet
Pricing
Reliable pricing

Pricier than 90% of the cards we track in this set · near the top of its 12-month range ($1.97–$8.48)

Pikachu — price history
$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00 2024-022024-072024-122025-052025-112026-042026-09

Why it scores where it does

What's driving the score
Seller confidence: -0.292Seller confidence-0.2922-month trend: -0.1552-month trend-0.155Price steadiness: -0.051Price steadiness-0.051Unusual move: -0.049Unusual move-0.0491-month trend: -0.0451-month trend-0.045Near its high: -0.036Near its high-0.036Listing tightness: -0.017Listing tightness-0.0174-month trend: +0.0014-month trend+0.001

Its interest score of 12 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers undercutting. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.

What the numbers say

Is this card interesting right now?

Quiet - 12 out of 100

It ranks above 13% of the cards we track. The score describes the conditions around the card today - how sellers are pricing it, how it is trending, how steadily it trades. It is not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether you will enjoy owning the card.

Why is it interesting?

Sellers undercutting and sliding for 2 months

People selling are asking less than the card recently sold for - holders are competing to get out. It has trailed the market over the past two months.

Is it becoming more popular?

No - losing ground

Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.

Past month-0.9%
Past 2 months-12.5%
Past 4 months-0.6%

Is it expensive or cheap?

$7.47 - expensive for its set

At $7.47 it is one of the priciest cards in its set - number 3 of 20 by price. Against other Common cards it sits at the 87th percentile - toward the top. It is 14% below its 12-month high. Worth knowing: in this market cards near their highs have gone on to do better than deeply discounted ones, so a big discount is not automatically a bargain.

What makes this card unusual?

#3 most valuable in its set

Common is a common tier - 12,381 tracked cards share it. Only 2 card(s) in this set are worth more. The set is brand new - prices this early are driven by hype and packs still being opened, and usually settle downward.

Could you actually buy or sell it?

Yes, with patience

The price changed in 33% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.

Is grading worth considering?

No

At $7.47 raw, grading costs roughly $22.00 - more than the card itself. Only worth it for sentimental reasons. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.

What happens next (60 days)

Slightly behind the market

An estimated 41% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +0.9% on a middling outcome.

Chance of beating market
41%
50% would be average
Expected vs market
+0.9%
the part actually predicted
Forecast confidence
65
higher = tighter, better-grounded

$6.65 – $9.75 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $7.24 and $8.61. Today it is $7.47.

Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.

Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.

Every number behind this page

Market price$7.47What copies have recently sold for
Cheapest listing$3.78The lowest price anyone is currently asking
Middle of listings$6.99The midpoint of what sellers are asking
Seller confidence-6.4%Asking prices are below recent sales — sellers want out
1-month trend vs market-0.9%Falling behind the market
2-month trend vs market-12.5%Falling behind the market
4-month trend vs market-0.6%Falling behind the market
Unusual move+0.0Within its normal range of movement
Below its 12-month high-11.9%Well off its high
Day-to-day price movement0.0213Jumpy
How often it trades33%Trades occasionally
Price checks on record365Observations in the past year
Times the price changed121How many of those were real moves
Actively tradedYesWhether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything
Set age0.0 yearsJust released
Interest score13 / 100Ranks above 13% of tracked cards
TCGplayer product ID88,079For looking it up elsewhere

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