Poliwrath (60)
Expedition · Rare
Forecast: ahead · 74%NormalVintage
Price
$38.36
Interest score
94/100 — Not trustworthy
Pricing
Very few listings
Pricier than 52% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($9.41–$38.36)
Expedition · Rare
Pricier than 52% of the cards we track in this set · at the top of its 12-month range ($9.41–$38.36)
Its interest score of 94 out of 100 is driven most by seller confidence — sellers holding firm. Blue bars pushed the score up, red bars pulled it down. The ingredients are weighted by how well each one has actually predicted price moves in this market, measured on your own price history rather than assumed.
Is this card interesting right now?
Scores 94, but do not trust it
Asking prices are 3.3x what the card last sold for. At that extreme this is one or two outlier listings on a nearly empty page, not sellers holding firm - and seller confidence is the heaviest ingredient in the score. Check the real listings before believing this ranking. The score is computed the same way as for every other card, and on this one the ingredients are being fed by a listing that does not represent a real market. Treat the ranking as unreliable until the listings look normal again.
Why is it interesting?
Sellers holding firm and climbing this month
People selling this card are asking more than it has recently sold for. In this market that has been the single most reliable sign that supply is tight. It has outpaced the rest of the market over the past month. Working against it: the price lurches around, so what you pay depends heavily on timing.
Is it becoming more popular?
Yes - consistently
Compared with the Pokemon market as a whole, so a rising tide does not count as popularity. In this market these trends have tended to keep going rather than reverse.
Is it expensive or cheap?
$38.36 - mid-priced for its set
At $38.36 it is mid-priced for its set - number 157 of 324 by price. Against other Rare cards it sits at the 92th percentile - toward the top. It is at or near its highest price of the past year.
What makes this card unusual?
An ordinary Rare from a 24-year-old set
Rare is a common tier - 6,033 tracked cards share it. The set is about 24 years old, so surviving copies in good condition get scarcer over time.
Could you actually buy or sell it?
Slowly - it rarely trades
The price changed in 12% of our checks over the past year across 365 observations. TCGplayer's market price only updates when a copy sells, so a low figure means the price shown may be stale and any trend reading is built on very few real sales.
Is grading worth considering?
Probably not
At $38.36 raw, a graded copy would need to fetch about $60.36 just to cover the roughly $22.00 fee - and that assumes a high grade. The maths only works on cards that grade well and carry a real premium for it. This is a vintage set, where condition varies far more between copies and grading matters correspondingly more. This is a rule of thumb from the card's raw price, age and price stability. We track raw ungraded prices only - no graded sales and no population data - so this cannot tell you what a PSA 10 of this card is worth. Check a graded price guide before spending money.
Expected to outpace the market
An estimated 74% chance of beating the typical tracked card over the next 60 days, by around +9.5% on a middling outcome.
Very few listings: treat this forecast as unusable. The model's heaviest input is seller confidence, and that is the exact figure this card's listings distort.
$37.46 – $53.63 — 80% likely. The middle half lands between $40.56 and $47.73. Today it is $38.36.
Assumes the market as a whole drifts +4.0% over 60 days, its recent average. That part is an assumption carried forward, not a prediction — the 'vs market' figure above does not depend on it.
Prices here are TCGplayer's market price, which is an average of recent sales and lags a real move by a few weeks. Part of any short-term forecast is that lag catching up — visible in the chart, but not something you can buy at.
| Market price | $38.36 | What copies have recently sold for |
| Cheapest listing | $94.96 | The lowest price anyone is currently asking |
| Middle of listings | $127.00 | The midpoint of what sellers are asking |
| Seller confidence | +231.1% | Asking prices are above recent sales — sellers are in no hurry |
| 1-month trend vs market | +6.1% | Outpacing the market |
| 2-month trend vs market | +5.4% | Outpacing the market |
| 4-month trend vs market | +20.7% | Outpacing the market |
| Versus same-set, same-rarity cards | +7.7% | Shown for interest only — this one is not part of the score |
| Unusual move | +0.7 | Within its normal range of movement |
| Below its 12-month high | -0.0% | At or near its high |
| Day-to-day price movement | 0.0183 | Calm and steady |
| How often it trades | 12% | Rarely trades — the price shown may be stale |
| Price checks on record | 365 | Observations in the past year |
| Times the price changed | 44 | How many of those were real moves |
| Actively traded | Yes | Whether there is enough activity for the trend figures to mean anything |
| Set age | 24.0 years | Vintage |
| Interest score | 94 / 100 | Ranks above 94% of tracked cards |
| TCGplayer product ID | 88,275 | For looking it up elsewhere |